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Bild: Russia is working to implement a new medium-term plan for the conflict in Ukraine, which again involves seizing large areas of the neighboring country. Russia is counting on a further decrease in Western support for Ukraine, as well as sham negotiations to mislead the world about Russia’s “peaceful intentions.” The Kremlin has also set specific objectives for its army to make new gains in Ukraine. This is evidenced by intelligence data that has come to the disposal of Bild.
▪️ Russia’s plan is to take control of the entire Donbass, i.e., Donetsk and Luhansk regions, by the end of 2024 and advance to the Oskol River in Kharkiv region. According to intelligence reports, in 2025 and 2026, Moscow plans to seize large parts of the Zaporizhya, Dnipro and Kharkiv regions, “if possible, including the city of Kharkiv,” according to one insider. “Within 36 months, all eastern territories to the left of the Dnieper should be conquered. The river will become the new front,” he explains.
▪️ According to the same findings, Russia has correspondingly low ambitions in southern Ukraine. Although the entire Kherson region was annexed by Vladimir Putin in the fall of 2022, Moscow is only interested in “holding the current front, which has already reached the Dnieper,” and preventing Ukraine from advancing toward Crimea.
▪️ According to intelligence reports, the Russian plan is based, among other things, on the assumptions that the Russian military economy will continue to grow as planned and become increasingly effective from month to month, that an additional 100,000 additional conscripts and mobilized (keyword “low-threshold mobilization”) (in German, “niedrigschwellige Mobilmachung”) can be used in Ukraine each year, and that a president will come to power in the United States who will sharply reduce or completely end military support for Ukraine.
▪️ Moreover, according to the latest intelligence reports, Russia sees no contradiction between negotiations with Ukraine and further military advancement. “As in 2015, the Kremlin is betting on fictitious negotiations while creating facts on the ground,” the source warns. Back then, Putin was holding “peace” talks with Angela Merkel in Minsk, while his army captured ten villages and the strategically important town of Debaltsevo.
The entire article can be read at the link https://www.bild.de/bild-plus/politik/ausland/politik-ausland/mehr-land-das-ist-putins-kriegsplan-fuer-die-naechsten-drei-jahre-86419892.bild.html
